According to the third-party prediction provider, the underlying models may consider factors such as:
Historical team statistics, including average goals scored and clean sheets;
Performance against teams with similar characteristics;
Poisson probability models used to estimate likely goal totals;
League-level statistics;
How each team compares with the wider league;
Additional contextual factors such as stadium capacity and travel distance.
The third-party provider controls these inputs. Football Prediction AI does not train or modify the underlying prediction model.
Football Prediction AI currently processes more than 2,300 predictions per month across more than 2,100 teams, 90+ countries, and 145+ national leagues. You can find everything on the Supported Competitions page.
This describes a way to measure the strength of both the home and away teams in the current event.
Home Strength is determined by looking at the home team’s past goal-scoring performance against similar-level opponents, while also considering the defense of the away team they are currently facing.
Away Strength assesses the away team’s goal-scoring ability based on their past away-game performance, while also factoring in the defense of the home team they are playing against.
Home Strength and Away Strength are provider-generated indicators.
The displayed odds represent aggregated or averaged decimal odds supplied by the data provider from bookmaker market data. Odds are shown for comparison with the predicted probability. They do not recommend placing a bet and may change before kickoff.
The standard value-bet calculation used on Football Prediction AI compares the available decimal odds with the predicted probability:
Value Score = Odds × Probability
For example, if a prediction has decimal odds of 2.00 and a probability of 60%:
2.00 × 0.60 = 1.20
Our website classifies a score greater than 1.00 as a potential value bet.
This is a mathematical comparison only. A value score does not guarantee that a selection will win or produce a profit.
The third-party prediction provider may re-evaluate a match as new information becomes available.
Factors such as team news, confirmed line-ups, injuries, suspensions, weather conditions, and other late developments can change the confidence of certain prediction markets.
When the confidence in a market drops below the algorithm’s quality threshold, that market may no longer be published. As a result, you may notice that a match initially offered several prediction markets, but fewer are available closer to kick-off.
This is a normal part of the prediction process and is designed to prioritize quality over quantity.
Football Prediction AI updates the displayed markets based on the latest data available from the provider.
The Historical Confidence Score is an additional statistical indicator developed by Football Prediction AI.
It compares current prediction characteristics with historical prediction performance stored in our database. The score is designed to provide additional context about how similar predictions have performed in the past.
It is not the same as the source API probability and should not be interpreted as a guarantee of future accuracy.
No. A third-party sports data provider generates the source match predictions using AI and machine-learning models.
Football Prediction AI develops the software infrastructure used to collect, store, organize, track, and analyze that prediction data. Our statistical features, such as the Historical Confidence Score, are built on recorded historical prediction results.
Transparent performance stats
Historical Performance of AI Football Predictions
Review recent prediction performance across supported football markets.
Percentages are calculated from resolved predictions and updated automatically using recorded match outcomes.
Main Prediction Markets
Final Result
Home win, draw, or away win predictions.
- Yesterday
-
71.8%
- Last 7 Days
-
67.4%
- Last 14 Days
-
66.9%
- Last 30 Days
-
66.6%
Over 2.5 Goals
Matches predicted to produce at least three goals.
- Yesterday
-
69.9%
- Last 7 Days
-
65.8%
- Last 14 Days
-
64.4%
- Last 30 Days
-
63.2%
Over 3.5 Goals
Matches predicted to produce at least four goals.
- Yesterday
-
70.5%
- Last 7 Days
-
67.5%
- Last 14 Days
-
70.2%
- Last 30 Days
-
69.4%
Both Teams to Score (BTTS)
Matches predicted to have goals from both teams.
- Yesterday
-
61.5%
- Last 7 Days
-
58.3%
- Last 14 Days
-
59.3%
- Last 30 Days
-
59.6%
Team Goal Markets
Home Team Over 0.5 Goals
Home team predicted to score at least once.
- Yesterday
-
93.5%
- Last 7 Days
-
92.3%
- Last 14 Days
-
89.1%
- Last 30 Days
-
91.2%
Home Team Over 1.5 Goals
Home team predicted to score at least twice.
- Yesterday
-
79.3%
- Last 7 Days
-
74.3%
- Last 14 Days
-
72.6%
- Last 30 Days
-
72.4%
Away Team Over 0.5 Goals
Away team predicted to score at least once.
- Yesterday
-
82.1%
- Last 7 Days
-
84.4%
- Last 14 Days
-
83.2%
- Last 30 Days
-
82.4%
Away Team Over 1.5 Goals
Away team predicted to score at least twice.
- Yesterday
-
76.5%
- Last 7 Days
-
73.1%
- Last 14 Days
-
74.5%
- Last 30 Days
-
75.8%
