What parameters are used to make the predictions?

According to the third-party prediction provider, the underlying models may consider factors such as:

Historical team statistics, including average goals scored and clean sheets;

Performance against teams with similar characteristics;

Poisson probability models used to estimate likely goal totals;

League-level statistics;

How each team compares with the wider league;

Additional contextual factors such as stadium capacity and travel distance.

The third-party provider controls these inputs. Football Prediction AI does not train or modify the underlying prediction model.

What are the supported competitions?

Football Prediction AI currently processes more than 2,300 predictions per month across more than 2,100 teams, 90+ countries, and 145+ national leagues. You can find everything on the Supported Competitions page.

What is Home & Away Strength?

This describes a way to measure the strength of both the home and away teams in the current event.

Home Strength is determined by looking at the home team’s past goal-scoring performance against similar-level opponents, while also considering the defense of the away team they are currently facing.

Away Strength assesses the away team’s goal-scoring ability based on their past away-game performance, while also factoring in the defense of the home team they are playing against.

Home Strength and Away Strength are provider-generated indicators.

Understanding the Odds?

The displayed odds represent aggregated or averaged decimal odds supplied by the data provider from bookmaker market data. Odds are shown for comparison with the predicted probability. They do not recommend placing a bet and may change before kickoff.

How Value Bets are being determined?

The standard value-bet calculation used on Football Prediction AI compares the available decimal odds with the predicted probability:

Value Score = Odds × Probability

For example, if a prediction has decimal odds of 2.00 and a probability of 60%:

2.00 × 0.60 = 1.20

Our website classifies a score greater than 1.00 as a potential value bet.

This is a mathematical comparison only. A value score does not guarantee that a selection will win or produce a profit.

Why do prediction markets sometimes disappear before a match starts?

The third-party prediction provider may re-evaluate a match as new information becomes available.

Factors such as team news, confirmed line-ups, injuries, suspensions, weather conditions, and other late developments can change the confidence of certain prediction markets.

When the confidence in a market drops below the algorithm’s quality threshold, that market may no longer be published. As a result, you may notice that a match initially offered several prediction markets, but fewer are available closer to kick-off.

This is a normal part of the prediction process and is designed to prioritize quality over quantity.

Football Prediction AI updates the displayed markets based on the latest data available from the provider.

What is the Historical Confidence Score?

The Historical Confidence Score is an additional statistical indicator developed by Football Prediction AI.

It compares current prediction characteristics with historical prediction performance stored in our database. The score is designed to provide additional context about how similar predictions have performed in the past.

It is not the same as the source API probability and should not be interpreted as a guarantee of future accuracy.

Does Football Prediction AI create the underlying AI predictions?

No. A third-party sports data provider generates the source match predictions using AI and machine-learning models.

Football Prediction AI develops the software infrastructure used to collect, store, organize, track, and analyze that prediction data. Our statistical features, such as the Historical Confidence Score, are built on recorded historical prediction results.


Transparent performance stats

Historical Performance of AI Football Predictions

Review recent prediction performance across supported football markets.
Percentages are calculated from resolved predictions and updated automatically using recorded match outcomes.

Last updated:

Main Prediction Markets

Final Result

Home win, draw, or away win predictions.

Yesterday

71.8%

Last 7 Days

67.4%

Last 14 Days

66.9%

Last 30 Days

66.6%

Over 2.5 Goals

Matches predicted to produce at least three goals.

Yesterday

69.9%

Last 7 Days

65.8%

Last 14 Days

64.4%

Last 30 Days

63.2%

Over 3.5 Goals

Matches predicted to produce at least four goals.

Yesterday

70.5%

Last 7 Days

67.5%

Last 14 Days

70.2%

Last 30 Days

69.4%

Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

Matches predicted to have goals from both teams.

Yesterday

61.5%

Last 7 Days

58.3%

Last 14 Days

59.3%

Last 30 Days

59.6%

Team Goal Markets

Home Team Over 0.5 Goals

Home team predicted to score at least once.

Yesterday

93.5%

Last 7 Days

92.3%

Last 14 Days

89.1%

Last 30 Days

91.2%

Home Team Over 1.5 Goals

Home team predicted to score at least twice.

Yesterday

79.3%

Last 7 Days

74.3%

Last 14 Days

72.6%

Last 30 Days

72.4%

Away Team Over 0.5 Goals

Away team predicted to score at least once.

Yesterday

82.1%

Last 7 Days

84.4%

Last 14 Days

83.2%

Last 30 Days

82.4%

Away Team Over 1.5 Goals

Away team predicted to score at least twice.

Yesterday

76.5%

Last 7 Days

73.1%

Last 14 Days

74.5%

Last 30 Days

75.8%